← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.96+1.09vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.78+1.53vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.53-0.39vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.25+0.23vs Predicted
-
5Brandeis University-0.34+0.88vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.05-2.78vs Predicted
-
7Bentley University-1.17-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.09Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
-
3.53Tufts University1.780.1%1st Place
-
2.61Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
-
4.23Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.88Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
-
3.22Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.45Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 41.2% | 27.7% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Epprecht | 11.5% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 24.8% | 21.9% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 24.1% | 28.4% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Zach Shapiro | 6.5% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 36.3% | 14.5% | 2.6% |
| Jessie Gordon | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 49.1% | 29.8% |
| Sam Gates | 14.8% | 18.1% | 23.2% | 23.7% | 15.1% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 22.6% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.