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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+6.23vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+6.45vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.68+4.81vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.83+3.27vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.80+6.02vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55+6.25vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-0.09vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50+0.34vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.93+0.61vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.39vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.54-3.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.50-4.34vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston4.61-9.34vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-6.90vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.35-3.15vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.60-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.45Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.81Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.27Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.02University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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12.25Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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4.66College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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12.85University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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14.78Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 7.3% |
| Emily Gowell | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 12.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| Megan Magill | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Christina Pryne | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Allison Blecher | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Christina Baker | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.