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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.07vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.41+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.04-0.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-0.60vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.50-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1340.6%1st Place
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3.35Cornell University0.4113.1%1st Place
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2.87University of Pennsylvania1.0419.4%1st Place
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3.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6413.2%1st Place
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3.31SUNY Maritime College0.5013.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 40.6% | 28.0% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 13.1% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 25.4% | 26.2% |
| Ian Fox | 19.4% | 23.7% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 15.2% |
| Calvin Marsh | 13.2% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 22.1% | 29.5% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 13.7% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 23.1% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.