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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00+5.42vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.00+2.35vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.53-0.71vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.10-0.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-2.38vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.59+0.23vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.20-1.92vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.53-3.73vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.21-4.01vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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4.35Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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3.29Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.08Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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7.23University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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6.08Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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5.27Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.99Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.67University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jillian Reddy | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 9.5% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Adler | 22.0% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 15.2% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 19.1% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sara Anibal | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 23.9% | 19.6% |
| Emily McNeil | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Erica Lush | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 5.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 16.3% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.