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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.78+2.47vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+0.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.53-0.41vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05-0.74vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.25-0.73vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.34-0.13vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.17-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Tufts University1.780.1%1st Place
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2.1Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
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2.59Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
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3.26Tufts University2.050.2%1st Place
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4.27Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.87Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.43Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Epprecht | 12.8% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 8.4% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 39.0% | 30.1% | 17.7% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 24.6% | 26.9% | 23.5% | 16.3% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 15.3% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 24.0% | 17.6% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Zach Shapiro | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 35.7% | 13.8% | 3.5% |
| Jessie Gordon | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 48.3% | 29.8% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 23.3% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.