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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.53+0.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.05+0.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.78-0.45vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.25-0.75vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.17+0.53vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.34-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
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2.57Tufts University2.530.3%1st Place
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3.2Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.25Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.53Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.79Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 39.9% | 27.9% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 25.2% | 27.3% | 23.8% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Gates | 14.7% | 18.6% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Epprecht | 12.1% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 24.8% | 22.7% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Zach Shapiro | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 22.2% | 32.8% | 15.8% | 2.6% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 21.3% | 70.2% |
| Jessie Gordon | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 50.9% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.