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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+1.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.53-0.41vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.78-0.44vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.25-0.74vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.34-0.12vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.17-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
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3.17Tufts University2.050.2%1st Place
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2.59Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
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3.56Tufts University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.26Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.88Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.44Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 41.0% | 26.7% | 17.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 15.1% | 19.2% | 23.6% | 22.4% | 15.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 24.2% | 27.1% | 24.7% | 14.8% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Epprecht | 11.9% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 22.9% | 23.4% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
| Zach Shapiro | 5.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 20.9% | 34.4% | 14.7% | 3.4% |
| Jessie Gordon | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 48.8% | 29.9% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 23.6% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.