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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.78+1.51vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.53-0.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05-0.77vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.25-0.75vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.34-0.12vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.17-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
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3.51Tufts University1.780.1%1st Place
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2.6Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
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3.23Tufts University2.050.2%1st Place
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4.25Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.88Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.44Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 40.7% | 27.0% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Epprecht | 11.3% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 24.2% | 20.8% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 24.0% | 27.9% | 23.4% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 15.8% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Zach Shapiro | 6.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 20.9% | 34.2% | 14.8% | 3.4% |
| Jessie Gordon | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 49.1% | 29.7% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 23.3% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.