← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.05+2.14vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.96+0.11vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.53-0.39vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.78-0.43vs Predicted
-
5Brandeis University-0.34+0.91vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.25-1.78vs Predicted
-
7Bentley University-1.17-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.14Tufts University2.050.2%1st Place
-
2.11Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
-
2.61Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
-
3.57Tufts University1.780.1%1st Place
-
5.91Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
-
4.22Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
-
6.44Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Gates | 17.6% | 19.0% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 38.6% | 29.8% | 18.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 23.3% | 27.3% | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Epprecht | 12.0% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 27.1% | 23.2% | 6.6% | 0.4% |
| Jessie Gordon | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 49.0% | 30.1% |
| Zach Shapiro | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 22.5% | 33.1% | 14.7% | 2.7% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 23.3% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.