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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+2.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+0.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.53-0.38vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.78-0.43vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.34+0.91vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.17+0.53vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.25-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Tufts University2.050.2%1st Place
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2.11Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
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2.62Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
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3.57Tufts University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.91Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.53Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
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4.1Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Gates | 17.2% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 38.1% | 29.9% | 18.8% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 24.4% | 24.4% | 26.0% | 16.5% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Epprecht | 11.5% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 25.8% | 24.4% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Jessie Gordon | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 52.4% | 28.4% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 23.3% | 68.4% |
| Zach Shapiro | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 20.9% | 35.7% | 12.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.