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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.78+1.51vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.05+0.19vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.53-1.40vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.25-0.72vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.34-0.11vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.17-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
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3.51Tufts University1.780.1%1st Place
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3.19Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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2.6Tufts University2.530.3%1st Place
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4.28Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.89Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.44Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 41.3% | 26.9% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Epprecht | 11.4% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 21.2% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Sam Gates | 14.4% | 20.6% | 22.8% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 25.5% | 24.5% | 24.8% | 16.4% | 7.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Zach Shapiro | 5.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 20.3% | 34.6% | 14.9% | 3.5% |
| Jessie Gordon | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 49.4% | 29.3% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 23.2% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.