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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+2.16vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.53+0.59vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.96-0.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.78-0.41vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.25-0.74vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.34-0.12vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.17-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Tufts University2.050.2%1st Place
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2.59Tufts University2.530.3%1st Place
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2.09Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
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3.59Tufts University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.26Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.88Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.43Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Gates | 16.8% | 19.0% | 22.0% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 25.1% | 26.4% | 23.6% | 15.8% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 38.9% | 29.7% | 18.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Epprecht | 10.9% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 24.2% | 24.1% | 6.6% | 0.7% |
| Zach Shapiro | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 21.3% | 34.3% | 14.3% | 3.4% |
| Jessie Gordon | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 48.5% | 29.8% |
| Christine Reighley | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 24.0% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.