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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+1.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.53-0.41vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.78-0.45vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.25-0.75vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.17+0.54vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.34-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
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3.18Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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2.59Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.25Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.54Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.79Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 40.6% | 27.4% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Gates | 14.9% | 19.9% | 22.4% | 22.9% | 15.3% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 24.5% | 26.5% | 25.0% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Epprecht | 12.0% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 23.8% | 23.3% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Zach Shapiro | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 34.3% | 15.5% | 2.6% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 21.2% | 70.2% |
| Jessie Gordon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 50.6% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.