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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+1.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.53-0.39vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79-0.45vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-1.17+1.53vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.34-0.11vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.25-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
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3.19Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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2.61Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.53Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.89Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
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4.09Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 40.2% | 26.2% | 18.5% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 14.2% | 20.0% | 22.7% | 23.5% | 15.5% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 23.3% | 27.6% | 24.2% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 12.0% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 23.8% | 23.1% | 6.9% | 0.6% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 22.9% | 68.7% |
| Jessie Gordon | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 51.1% | 28.9% |
| Zach Shapiro | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 20.0% | 35.0% | 13.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.