← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.10+3.05vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College3.00+2.31vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.73vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.59+3.33vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.53-1.81vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00+0.46vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.21-1.94vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.53-3.77vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.20-4.00vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire0.76-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.05Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
-
4.31Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
-
3.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
-
7.33University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
-
3.19Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
-
6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
-
6.06Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
5.23Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
-
6.0Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
-
8.65University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 17.2% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 14.1% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 17.9% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Sara Anibal | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 19.2% |
| Jennifer Adler | 22.9% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Reddy | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 8.9% |
| Erica Lush | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 6.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Emily McNeil | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 6.3% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.