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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+1.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.53-0.40vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-1.17+2.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.05-1.75vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.25-1.77vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.34-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
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3.49Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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2.6Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
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6.57Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.23Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.77Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 41.5% | 28.6% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 11.8% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 25.5% | 20.3% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 24.3% | 27.3% | 23.3% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 20.4% | 71.4% |
| Sam Gates | 13.6% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Zach Shapiro | 7.0% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 35.7% | 15.4% | 2.3% |
| Jessie Gordon | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 51.4% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.