← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.96+1.10vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.79+1.54vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.05+0.17vs Predicted
-
4Bentley University-1.17+2.54vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.25-0.73vs Predicted
-
6Brandeis University-0.34-0.13vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.53-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.1Harvard University2.960.4%1st Place
-
3.54Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
-
3.17Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.54Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
-
4.27Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.87Brandeis University-0.340.0%1st Place
-
2.51Tufts University2.530.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 41.1% | 26.4% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 10.5% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 26.7% | 21.2% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Sam Gates | 14.7% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 22.0% | 16.4% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 22.5% | 69.3% |
| Zach Shapiro | 5.3% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 35.2% | 16.5% | 1.6% |
| Jessie Gordon | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 13.5% | 49.4% | 27.8% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 27.5% | 26.0% | 24.0% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.