Race 1A

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Noel Ingalls 11.9% 11.4% 13.3% 12.6% 13.3% 13.1% 11.3% 8.0% 4.6% 0.5%
Bradley Shaw 21.4% 20.1% 18.3% 14.0% 11.6% 6.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Jacob Hafemeister 21.0% 20.9% 17.7% 15.5% 11.5% 7.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Aaron Comen 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 8.7% 11.4% 21.7% 43.1%
Alexander Judd 8.6% 10.4% 9.3% 11.5% 11.9% 17.0% 13.2% 10.8% 5.9% 1.4%
Dylan Marohn 18.9% 15.7% 15.9% 14.4% 14.7% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Kayla Sonnier 3.3% 4.4% 5.7% 6.6% 9.3% 12.7% 16.5% 18.2% 14.9% 8.4%
Ashlynd Epstein 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 5.7% 7.4% 8.4% 11.3% 18.9% 22.2% 16.1%
Benjamin Lipari 9.4% 9.6% 11.0% 12.1% 12.5% 14.1% 13.8% 10.5% 5.4% 1.6%
Zelun Wang 2.0% 2.2% 3.1% 4.8% 4.3% 6.2% 10.4% 15.5% 22.9% 28.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.