Race 2A

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jacob Hafemeister 23.9% 21.6% 17.1% 13.1% 8.8% 9.0% 3.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Dylan Marohn 16.1% 17.4% 16.7% 15.0% 12.8% 9.9% 8.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Bradley Shaw 22.1% 17.8% 17.2% 15.6% 12.9% 7.3% 4.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Noel Ingalls 9.5% 12.2% 13.5% 13.3% 13.7% 14.7% 11.4% 7.6% 3.5% 0.6%
Aaron Comen 1.6% 1.9% 3.2% 2.5% 3.7% 4.8% 7.7% 11.8% 20.0% 42.8%
Alexander Judd 9.6% 9.2% 9.4% 10.9% 14.4% 14.0% 13.3% 11.1% 6.0% 2.1%
Kayla Sonnier 3.5% 4.5% 5.9% 5.9% 9.6% 12.8% 16.9% 16.9% 16.5% 7.5%
Ashlynd Epstein 3.0% 2.9% 4.7% 5.0% 6.6% 9.7% 10.5% 18.1% 23.3% 16.2%
Benjamin Lipari 9.1% 9.6% 9.0% 15.1% 12.1% 12.5% 14.5% 11.1% 5.2% 1.8%
Zelun Wang 1.6% 2.9% 3.3% 3.6% 5.4% 5.3% 9.6% 16.6% 22.9% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.