Race 3A

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dylan Marohn 18.7% 16.1% 16.4% 13.7% 11.8% 11.8% 5.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Jacob Hafemeister 23.4% 19.4% 17.8% 13.8% 11.8% 6.7% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 21.6% 18.6% 16.4% 16.1% 13.0% 7.5% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Noel Ingalls 10.1% 11.9% 12.9% 13.7% 14.2% 13.6% 11.4% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1%
Ashlynd Epstein 3.2% 4.0% 5.1% 5.3% 6.9% 7.0% 11.2% 19.1% 23.5% 14.7%
Aaron Comen 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 2.2% 3.5% 5.1% 6.9% 10.9% 21.7% 43.1%
Kayla Sonnier 3.1% 4.7% 6.0% 6.8% 9.0% 11.8% 17.1% 18.3% 14.7% 8.5%
Alexander Judd 7.1% 11.0% 10.2% 11.5% 12.8% 16.3% 13.9% 9.1% 6.1% 2.0%
Benjamin Lipari 9.4% 9.7% 9.2% 13.2% 12.8% 13.7% 12.8% 11.5% 6.2% 1.5%
Zelun Wang 1.9% 2.3% 3.2% 3.7% 4.2% 6.5% 11.5% 15.6% 22.3% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.