Race 4A

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bradley Shaw 21.9% 21.4% 17.7% 13.1% 10.7% 6.9% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Dylan Marohn 16.0% 17.1% 16.7% 15.7% 11.8% 10.4% 7.0% 4.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Noel Ingalls 10.5% 11.4% 11.8% 12.1% 14.9% 14.7% 13.5% 6.1% 4.2% 0.8%
Jacob Hafemeister 22.1% 20.3% 18.3% 15.7% 10.8% 7.6% 2.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Alexander Judd 9.9% 8.4% 9.5% 12.5% 14.4% 14.6% 12.6% 10.4% 6.0% 1.7%
Ashlynd Epstein 4.4% 3.2% 4.2% 4.3% 6.9% 8.5% 12.0% 19.2% 19.7% 17.6%
Kayla Sonnier 3.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.7% 8.8% 13.3% 17.5% 17.1% 14.7% 8.6%
Aaron Comen 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 7.1% 13.2% 22.1% 41.4%
Benjamin Lipari 8.7% 9.9% 10.6% 12.6% 13.9% 12.6% 14.5% 10.2% 5.4% 1.6%
Zelun Wang 1.7% 2.7% 3.1% 4.2% 4.5% 6.8% 8.6% 14.5% 25.8% 28.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.