Race 5A

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bradley Shaw 23.0% 20.1% 17.8% 13.3% 9.6% 8.5% 4.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Jacob Hafemeister 22.8% 20.7% 16.6% 14.9% 10.8% 7.2% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Dylan Marohn 16.8% 15.2% 17.0% 14.5% 13.9% 11.2% 6.8% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Alexander Judd 7.2% 9.7% 10.8% 13.5% 13.8% 13.4% 13.1% 11.7% 4.9% 1.9%
Noel Ingalls 11.1% 11.1% 12.4% 13.4% 15.6% 13.0% 11.5% 7.7% 3.5% 0.7%
Ashlynd Epstein 4.2% 3.6% 4.0% 3.6% 7.1% 8.8% 12.7% 17.9% 20.6% 17.5%
Kayla Sonnier 3.3% 5.0% 5.3% 7.1% 8.5% 12.3% 16.9% 17.6% 15.5% 8.5%
Aaron Comen 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 4.0% 4.5% 7.1% 12.3% 22.4% 41.6%
Benjamin Lipari 8.7% 10.2% 10.5% 13.0% 12.4% 14.2% 13.3% 10.6% 5.5% 1.6%
Zelun Wang 1.8% 2.7% 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 6.9% 9.5% 14.1% 25.6% 28.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.