Race 6A

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bradley Shaw 23.0% 21.5% 17.2% 13.4% 9.7% 8.3% 4.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Noel Ingalls 10.7% 9.8% 14.5% 11.9% 15.0% 13.3% 12.7% 7.2% 4.1% 0.8%
Jacob Hafemeister 22.5% 18.4% 17.0% 15.6% 12.2% 8.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Dylan Marohn 15.9% 18.0% 15.2% 16.6% 13.1% 9.8% 7.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Ashlynd Epstein 2.9% 4.2% 5.3% 5.2% 6.9% 7.7% 12.5% 17.3% 22.3% 15.7%
Alexander Judd 9.6% 8.8% 10.0% 10.9% 14.1% 14.7% 14.4% 9.6% 5.6% 2.3%
Aaron Comen 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 2.8% 3.0% 5.6% 6.9% 13.1% 21.6% 43.5%
Kayla Sonnier 4.0% 5.0% 6.5% 7.3% 9.2% 11.1% 15.1% 17.7% 16.9% 7.2%
Benjamin Lipari 8.5% 10.2% 10.0% 12.8% 12.4% 14.1% 13.8% 11.1% 5.3% 1.8%
Zelun Wang 1.6% 2.9% 3.3% 3.5% 4.4% 6.8% 9.8% 17.3% 22.1% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.