Race 1B

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Erin Hawk 26.1% 21.0% 17.1% 14.4% 10.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2%
George Walters 13.0% 16.5% 15.8% 15.2% 15.7% 11.4% 7.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.0%
Ryan Murphy 31.7% 25.6% 19.5% 12.3% 6.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Varga 7.5% 9.7% 13.1% 14.0% 15.1% 15.0% 12.6% 8.5% 3.5% 1.0%
Elena Busch 4.0% 4.4% 5.4% 7.9% 8.1% 9.7% 14.9% 18.8% 16.4% 10.4%
Brittney Crawford 4.5% 4.1% 4.4% 6.5% 8.7% 13.1% 14.2% 16.7% 18.0% 9.8%
Walter Pospick 5.7% 10.2% 10.9% 13.4% 15.3% 16.5% 12.6% 10.2% 3.9% 1.3%
Anish Zute 4.6% 5.9% 7.8% 10.1% 11.9% 13.4% 14.6% 15.9% 10.4% 5.4%
Nicholas Boswell 1.4% 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 4.1% 5.8% 8.8% 11.4% 22.3% 40.0%
Austin Bergman 1.5% 1.3% 3.5% 3.8% 4.3% 6.0% 10.4% 13.9% 23.4% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.