Race 2B

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
George Walters 14.8% 15.9% 16.8% 15.8% 12.6% 12.1% 7.2% 2.7% 1.4% 0.7%
Ryan Murphy 34.0% 24.6% 18.1% 11.6% 6.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 21.5% 21.3% 20.0% 17.7% 9.9% 5.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Simon Varga 6.9% 10.4% 11.9% 13.8% 16.5% 15.0% 12.1% 8.7% 3.5% 1.2%
Austin Bergman 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 6.7% 10.5% 12.3% 23.0% 30.9%
Walter Pospick 8.8% 9.1% 10.5% 12.7% 15.9% 12.6% 13.7% 10.6% 4.6% 1.5%
Nicholas Boswell 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 2.7% 4.3% 5.5% 8.5% 12.1% 23.5% 39.7%
Brittney Crawford 2.8% 4.7% 5.7% 6.5% 9.2% 11.8% 13.9% 19.6% 16.7% 9.1%
Elena Busch 3.8% 2.9% 5.0% 6.4% 9.1% 13.6% 13.8% 18.0% 15.7% 11.7%
Anish Zute 4.1% 7.3% 7.9% 8.8% 10.6% 13.7% 16.3% 14.7% 11.4% 5.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.