Race 3B

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
George Walters 14.9% 16.8% 15.5% 16.3% 13.8% 11.5% 6.8% 2.4% 1.5% 0.5%
Ryan Murphy 34.9% 24.8% 17.9% 11.2% 6.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Varga 8.1% 9.1% 11.7% 12.6% 16.5% 16.1% 11.3% 10.1% 3.5% 1.0%
Morgan Frakes 5.5% 7.4% 11.3% 13.5% 15.0% 15.5% 12.9% 11.0% 5.8% 2.1%
Erin Hawk 22.8% 25.2% 19.2% 14.3% 9.1% 4.5% 3.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Nicholas Boswell 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 4.3% 5.3% 7.7% 12.4% 21.1% 39.8%
Elena Busch 2.6% 3.2% 5.7% 7.5% 8.4% 11.8% 16.4% 17.0% 17.0% 10.4%
Anish Zute 4.7% 5.7% 8.1% 10.6% 12.2% 13.0% 16.9% 13.5% 10.0% 5.3%
Brittney Crawford 3.4% 3.6% 5.4% 7.0% 10.5% 10.7% 13.5% 18.7% 18.2% 9.0%
Austin Bergman 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 3.9% 4.1% 7.9% 9.6% 14.1% 22.4% 31.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.