Race 4B

2014-troy-swetnam

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Erin Hawk 23.6% 25.1% 15.9% 14.9% 10.4% 5.4% 2.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
George Walters 14.4% 15.0% 17.4% 17.5% 12.5% 11.9% 7.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Simon Varga 9.6% 8.5% 11.2% 13.5% 16.2% 14.3% 13.1% 8.8% 3.5% 1.3%
Morgan Frakes 5.9% 6.7% 12.8% 12.6% 13.2% 15.0% 13.4% 11.7% 7.3% 1.4%
Austin Bergman 1.7% 2.4% 3.4% 4.9% 4.6% 6.7% 8.9% 13.0% 23.6% 30.8%
Ryan Murphy 33.1% 27.1% 17.3% 12.7% 6.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Brittney Crawford 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 6.7% 9.6% 12.4% 14.9% 18.0% 16.7% 10.2%
Nicholas Boswell 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 5.0% 6.7% 9.0% 11.8% 19.4% 40.5%
Elena Busch 3.1% 4.2% 5.3% 6.6% 9.6% 10.9% 15.3% 17.7% 16.6% 10.7%
Anish Zute 4.5% 6.4% 8.8% 8.1% 12.9% 14.3% 14.8% 14.0% 11.2% 5.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.