Race 5B

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Murphy 35.0% 25.6% 17.3% 9.8% 6.8% 2.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 22.3% 23.2% 17.7% 16.4% 9.9% 6.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
George Walters 14.0% 13.4% 18.4% 15.9% 14.7% 11.7% 7.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Simon Varga 6.6% 11.0% 13.1% 14.4% 15.2% 13.4% 12.5% 8.6% 4.0% 1.2%
Walter Pospick 8.1% 9.4% 9.5% 13.0% 17.0% 14.0% 13.3% 8.7% 5.6% 1.4%
Anish Zute 6.2% 5.6% 7.4% 9.9% 11.0% 14.2% 15.3% 14.5% 10.9% 5.0%
Elena Busch 2.6% 3.4% 5.5% 7.3% 8.1% 11.8% 15.9% 18.5% 16.0% 10.9%
Nicholas Boswell 1.0% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 6.2% 8.9% 11.3% 21.8% 39.3%
Brittney Crawford 2.8% 4.7% 5.6% 6.2% 8.1% 13.5% 11.9% 20.2% 17.4% 9.6%
Austin Bergman 1.4% 1.9% 3.1% 3.9% 5.1% 6.1% 9.8% 13.0% 23.1% 32.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.