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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.53+2.32vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.00+2.39vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+2.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.10-0.81vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00+0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.59+0.27vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.21-1.90vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.76-0.37vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-5.22vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.39Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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6.17Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.19Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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6.1Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.63University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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3.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Adler | 23.2% | 21.2% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Emily McNeil | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 6.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 13.0% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Jillian Reddy | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 8.7% |
| Sara Anibal | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 20.6% |
| Erica Lush | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 6.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 54.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 11.4% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 17.7% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.