Race 6B

2014-troy-swetnam

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Murphy 34.8% 26.2% 17.4% 9.6% 6.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 22.5% 23.2% 17.8% 16.0% 10.0% 6.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
George Walters 14.0% 12.8% 18.3% 16.6% 14.6% 11.7% 7.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Walter Pospick 6.4% 9.5% 11.6% 14.9% 14.2% 13.4% 13.0% 10.7% 4.8% 1.5%
Simon Varga 9.0% 10.6% 10.9% 13.9% 16.8% 13.3% 12.2% 7.7% 4.6% 1.0%
Elena Busch 4.4% 4.0% 5.3% 6.1% 7.8% 12.1% 15.0% 18.7% 15.7% 10.9%
Anish Zute 3.7% 5.5% 7.9% 9.7% 12.3% 13.9% 17.0% 13.6% 11.1% 5.3%
Nicholas Boswell 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.2% 5.7% 9.2% 12.0% 22.2% 38.1%
Brittney Crawford 2.7% 4.6% 5.4% 6.2% 8.4% 13.7% 13.1% 18.8% 16.8% 10.3%
Austin Bergman 1.5% 1.8% 3.3% 3.3% 5.1% 6.5% 9.0% 13.3% 23.4% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.