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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89+1.38vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.51+1.01vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.71+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-0.49+0.44vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.42+1.05vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.10+1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.04-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.01-4.30vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.31-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.4%1st Place
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3.01Texas A&M University0.510.2%1st Place
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5.01Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
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6.05Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.3Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.100.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Texas-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Texas0.010.2%1st Place
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7.55Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Murphy | 35.1% | 25.5% | 19.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 21.6% | 23.6% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Frakes | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Simon Varga | 8.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Brittney Crawford | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 13.0% |
| Austin Bergman | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 27.9% | 33.6% |
| Anish Zute | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 12.7% | 6.4% |
| George Walters | 15.6% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Boswell | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 23.4% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.