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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89+1.38vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.51+0.99vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.42+3.27vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-1.04+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.01-1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.49-1.46vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.10+0.33vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.31-0.48vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.71-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.4%1st Place
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2.99Texas A&M University0.510.2%1st Place
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6.27Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Texas-1.040.0%1st Place
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3.61University of Texas0.010.2%1st Place
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4.54University of Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
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7.33Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.100.0%1st Place
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7.52Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.310.0%1st Place
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4.92Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Murphy | 35.5% | 24.9% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 21.5% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Crawford | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 21.0% | 22.1% | 11.9% |
| Anish Zute | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 4.7% |
| George Walters | 16.1% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Simon Varga | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Austin Bergman | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 26.9% | 34.7% |
| Nicholas Boswell | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 21.7% | 43.6% |
| Morgan Frakes | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.