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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.59+4.02vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.01+4.60vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.20+3.11vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34+1.65vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.62-0.08vs Predicted
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6Ohio University0.13+0.24vs Predicted
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7Ohio University0.13-0.76vs Predicted
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8Denison University0.36-2.54vs Predicted
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9Hope College0.28-3.28vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.25-2.84vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-0.43-3.25vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-0.86-2.92vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-0.58-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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6.6Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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5.65Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.92Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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6.24Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.24Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.46Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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5.72Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.75Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.3Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.