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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.62+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.59+2.91vs Predicted
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3Ohio University0.13+3.31vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.25+3.32vs Predicted
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5Ohio University0.13+1.31vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo0.20-0.93vs Predicted
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8Denison University0.36-2.54vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.01-2.54vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.58-1.87vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-0.86-2.12vs Predicted
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12Hope College0.28-6.07vs Predicted
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13Ohio University-0.43-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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6.31Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.31Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.7Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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5.46Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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6.46Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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8.13Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.93Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.9Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinne Sackett | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jason Doyle | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.