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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.59+4.21vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.81+2.50vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.34+2.78vs Predicted
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4Denison University0.36+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.20+1.16vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.62-0.97vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.58+1.16vs Predicted
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8Ohio University0.13-1.75vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.67vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University0.01-3.34vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-0.43-2.88vs Predicted
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12Ohio University0.13-5.75vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-0.86-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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4.5Hope College0.810.1%1st Place
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5.78Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.73Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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5.03Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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8.16Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.25Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.66Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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8.12Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.25Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Zita | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 13.5% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.