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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.53+2.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+2.22vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+0.83vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.00-0.64vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.76+2.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-3.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00-1.43vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.20-2.94vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.21-3.90vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.59-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.22Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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4.83Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.36Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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8.55University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.0%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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6.1Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Adler | 23.4% | 20.7% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Genoa Warner | 13.6% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 11.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 12.2% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 16.0% | 53.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 18.9% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jillian Reddy | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 10.4% |
| Emily McNeil | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 5.8% |
| Erica Lush | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 6.4% |
| Sara Anibal | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 24.0% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.