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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.20+5.29vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.81+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.59+2.08vs Predicted
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4Denison University0.36+1.73vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.34+0.75vs Predicted
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6Ohio University0.13+0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.25+0.31vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.43-0.22vs Predicted
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9Ohio University0.13-2.60vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University0.01-3.42vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.62-6.03vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-0.86-2.82vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-0.58-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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4.51Hope College0.810.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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5.73Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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5.75Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.4Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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7.78Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.4Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.58Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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4.97Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.42Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Mackay | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Zita | 14.8% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason Doyle | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.