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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.59+4.02vs Predicted
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2Denison University0.36+3.57vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.62+1.87vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.25+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.20+0.07vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.28-1.28vs Predicted
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8Ohio University0.13-1.85vs Predicted
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9Ohio University0.13-2.85vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-0.43-2.29vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-0.86-2.13vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University0.01-5.26vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-0.58-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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5.57Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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4.87Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.65Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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5.72Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.15Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.15Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.71Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.74Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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8.27Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 14.6% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.