← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University0.62+3.96vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.59+2.92vs Predicted
-
3Ohio University0.13+3.30vs Predicted
-
4University of Toledo0.20+2.07vs Predicted
-
5Hope College0.28+0.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Illinois-0.86+2.99vs Predicted
-
7University of Notre Dame-0.25+0.16vs Predicted
-
8Denison University0.36-2.53vs Predicted
-
9Ohio University-0.43-1.31vs Predicted
-
10Ohio State University0.34-4.44vs Predicted
-
11Grand Valley State University-0.58-2.61vs Predicted
-
12Michigan Technological University0.01-5.36vs Predicted
-
13Ohio University0.13-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.96Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
-
4.92University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
-
6.3Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
-
6.07University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
-
5.85Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
-
8.99University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
-
7.16University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
-
5.47Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
-
7.69Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.56Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
8.39Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
-
6.64Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
-
6.3Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinne Sackett | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason Doyle | 12.8% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.