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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.09+5.89vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.59+2.86vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.25+4.29vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34+1.60vs Predicted
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5Ohio University0.13+1.16vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.28-0.25vs Predicted
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7Denison University0.36-1.57vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.62-3.25vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.01-2.65vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-0.43-2.34vs Predicted
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11Ohio University0.13-4.84vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-0.86-2.99vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-0.58-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.6Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.16Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.75Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.43Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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4.75Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
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6.35Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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7.66Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.16Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.23Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Blackburn | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Jason Doyle | 11.9% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 15.7% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.