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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.09+5.91vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.59+2.87vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.62+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.25+3.30vs Predicted
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5Denison University0.36+0.53vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-0.45vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.01-0.61vs Predicted
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8Ohio University0.13-1.88vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-0.43-1.35vs Predicted
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10Hope College0.28-4.34vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-0.86-1.99vs Predicted
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12Ohio University0.13-5.88vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-0.58-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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4.76Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.53Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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5.55Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.39Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.12Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.65Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.66Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.12Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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8.25Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Blackburn | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason Doyle | 12.3% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 14.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.