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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.28+5.05vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.62+3.02vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University1.14+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.09+3.00vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.59+0.10vs Predicted
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6Ohio University0.13+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.25+0.27vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.58+0.15vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.01-2.49vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-0.43-2.14vs Predicted
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11Denison University0.36-5.13vs Predicted
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12Ohio University0.13-5.61vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-0.86-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.02Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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3.7Ohio State University1.140.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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6.39Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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8.15Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.51Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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7.86Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.87Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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6.39Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Reeg | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Devin Copfer | 21.1% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Jason Doyle | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 2.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.