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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.14+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.59+3.09vs Predicted
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3Ohio University0.13+3.40vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.28+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.09+1.97vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.01+0.71vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.62-2.05vs Predicted
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8Denison University0.36-2.39vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.58-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.25-2.71vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-0.43-2.97vs Predicted
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12Ohio University0.13-5.60vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-0.86-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Ohio State University1.140.2%1st Place
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5.09University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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6.4Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.94Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.71Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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4.95Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.61Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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8.18Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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8.03Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.4Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Copfer | 19.6% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason Doyle | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.