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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.61vs Predicted
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2Denison University-0.21+3.01vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.25+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.09+0.89vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-1.49+2.64vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.05-1.28vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.56+0.63vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.31-4.14vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-1.63-1.01vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.29-2.83vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.56-4.37vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-3.38-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Hope College1.100.3%1st Place
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5.01Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.18Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.64Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.72Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.63Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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3.86Ohio State University0.310.2%1st Place
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7.99University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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7.17Grand Valley State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.63Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Illinois-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 30.9% | 24.6% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Monica Julian | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 22.1% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Schneider | 15.4% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 23.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Ponsot | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 72.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.