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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio University-1.56+6.95vs Predicted
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2Denison University-0.21+2.98vs Predicted
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3Hope College1.10-0.33vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.31+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.09-0.23vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.25-1.93vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.49+0.49vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-1.56-0.05vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.29-1.84vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-1.63-1.99vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.05-6.44vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-3.38-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.98Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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2.67Hope College1.100.3%1st Place
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4.03Ohio State University0.310.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.07Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.49Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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7.95Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.16Grand Valley State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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4.56Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Illinois-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wolff | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 23.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| DJ Litts | 30.0% | 24.2% | 19.2% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Schneider | 12.9% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monica Julian | 14.1% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 23.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 24.8% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Ponsot | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 72.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.