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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.34vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.25+1.70vs Predicted
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3Denison University-0.21+1.61vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.09+0.31vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-1.56+2.59vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-1.56+1.59vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.72vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-1.63-0.39vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.43-1.79vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-2.18-1.18vs Predicted
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11Hope College-2.38-1.81vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-3.38-2.12vs Predicted
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14Ohio University-1.49-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Hope College1.100.4%1st Place
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3.7Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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4.61Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.59Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.59Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.28Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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7.21Grand Valley State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.82Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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9.19Hope College-2.380.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Illinois-3.380.0%1st Place
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7.46Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 38.1% | 23.8% | 19.5% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monica Julian | 14.4% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 11.0% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Gary MIcu Jr | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Nash | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Jared Miller | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 25.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Ponsot | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 61.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.