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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.53+2.27vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+2.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.59+2.38vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.76+2.55vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.20-0.96vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81-3.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00-2.49vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21-4.93vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.00-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Brown University3.530.3%1st Place
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4.17Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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7.38University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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8.55University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.0%1st Place
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6.07Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.42Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Adler | 25.3% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Genoa Warner | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 17.7% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sara Anibal | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 24.4% | 19.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 54.2% |
| Emily McNeil | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 7.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 8.9% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Jillian Reddy | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 9.1% |
| Erica Lush | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 6.9% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 12.0% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.