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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.09+2.33vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.25+0.62vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-1.56+3.61vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.43+2.28vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21-1.40vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.49+0.32vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.05-3.76vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-1.63-2.40vs Predicted
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11Hope College-2.38-1.80vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.56-4.39vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-2.18-4.04vs Predicted
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14University of Illinois-3.38-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Hope College1.100.4%1st Place
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4.33University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.62Ohio State University0.250.2%1st Place
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7.61Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.28Grand Valley State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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4.6Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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7.32Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.24Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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9.2Hope College-2.380.0%1st Place
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7.61Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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8.96Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Illinois-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 35.2% | 27.0% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monica Julian | 17.8% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary MIcu Jr | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jared Miller | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 26.5% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Nash | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Ponsot | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 17.4% | 59.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.