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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.33vs Predicted
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2Ohio University-1.56+5.32vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.09+1.41vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.63+1.39vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.25-3.33vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-1.56-0.68vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.29-2.46vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-0.05-5.92vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-1.49-3.76vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-3.38-1.94vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-2.18-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Hope College1.100.4%1st Place
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7.32Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.61Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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3.67Ohio State University0.250.2%1st Place
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7.32Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.54Grand Valley State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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4.08Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.24Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Illinois-3.380.0%1st Place
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8.35Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 35.9% | 27.4% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Monica Julian | 16.2% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 12.5% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Ponsot | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 65.2% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Nash | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 27.0% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.