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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.09+2.31vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-1.56+4.39vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21+0.66vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.25-1.38vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-1.56+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-1.63+0.53vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.05-4.95vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-1.49-2.99vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-2.18-2.55vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.29-5.38vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-3.38-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Hope College1.100.4%1st Place
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4.31University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.39Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.66Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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3.62Ohio State University0.250.2%1st Place
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7.39Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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4.05Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.01Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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8.45Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.62Grand Valley State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Illinois-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 36.3% | 26.7% | 18.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Monica Julian | 16.9% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 13.7% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Nash | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 27.5% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Ponsot | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 65.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.