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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.62vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.31+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.09+1.81vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21+1.09vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.25-0.84vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.43+1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-1.63+1.13vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.05-3.34vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-1.49-1.15vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.38-0.40vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-1.56-2.77vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.56-3.77vs Predicted
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14University of Illinois-3.38-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Hope College1.100.3%1st Place
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3.98Ohio State University0.310.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.09Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.16Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.8Grand Valley State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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4.66Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.85Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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9.6Hope College-2.380.0%1st Place
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8.23Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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8.23Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Illinois-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 31.3% | 25.8% | 18.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Schneider | 13.6% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 11.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Monica Julian | 14.3% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary MIcu Jr | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jared Miller | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 31.2% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Ponsot | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 16.1% | 64.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.